Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 881.707792 1000.631910 1134.626154 1297.768105 1492.358608 1718.690111 2004.303151
2025-01-26 730.736110 891.099657 1089.766802 1358.163721 1717.905404 2193.325158 2886.539284
2025-02-02 644.050517 820.806131 1053.160783 1388.995572 1876.065289 2580.655239 3725.247783
2025-02-09 579.346785 764.297316 1019.142386 1408.322104 2011.411736 2955.198072 4646.584512
2025-02-16 522.327162 708.211495 974.190901 1399.099445 2095.217210 3261.291398 5544.260684
2025-02-23 489.180178 680.672520 964.723844 1438.843717 2259.792475 3734.174469 6905.461764
2025-03-02 461.661200 657.424951 957.397111 1478.658956 2429.355760 4255.448094 8572.117778
2025-03-09 432.064500 627.346087 934.911826 1488.181982 2544.259079 4699.169986 10262.882278
2025-03-16 401.701096 592.804859 900.827074 1471.511096 2604.722485 5044.536419 11876.203129
2025-03-23 382.679264 574.477925 891.290794 1497.168001 2753.325425 5625.093923 14459.131847
2025-03-30 353.689497 537.172398 845.372693 1447.847232 2735.378672 5808.236098 15943.442109
2025-04-06 328.548971 504.323018 804.151977 1402.285027 2717.349743 5987.228212 17535.280416
2025-04-13 304.348162 472.142889 762.794860 1354.608612 2693.993259 6168.907900 19369.893293
2025-04-20 297.146982 468.806301 773.566170 1415.025207 2937.577615 7180.608253 25500.129509
2025-04-27 286.976300 459.255580 771.590625 1448.046013 3122.169048 8098.366789 32356.690167
2025-05-04 276.143048 447.586174 764.317860 1468.361476 3279.396894 9002.025500 40486.026932
2025-05-11 262.913066 430.518160 744.895466 1458.641642 3354.108941 9660.770754 48273.550226
2025-05-18 256.198747 424.974748 747.710152 1500.581683 3584.672825 11012.980123 63863.415370
2025-05-25 249.881980 419.659226 750.398469 1542.616539 3827.705736 12564.133125 85726.219103
2025-06-01 241.012665 408.803545 740.606844 1552.673000 3976.019216 13808.968203 109207.890646
2025-06-08 230.380890 393.824714 720.865511 1535.068897 4032.064622 14670.914507 131934.832206
2025-06-15 224.246867 387.263629 718.540652 1562.163339 4245.911001 16473.187986 178847.797486
2025-06-22 212.210544 368.253288 687.704800 1510.085712 4173.124388 16714.959370 200311.705625